Monday, November 21, 2011

London Doubles Update--Statistical Analysis

After perusing the match statistics for the three completed doubles matches during the Barclays ATP World Tour Finals a few simple items become evident.

Combined Stats: Winning Pair Losing Pair

1st serve %: 62% 62%
Points won on 1st: 73% 68%
Points won on 2nd serve: 48% 47%

Return points won on 1st: 32% 27%
Return points won on 2nd: 53% 52%

Not much difference in statistics is there?

In the 2nd match Fyrstenberg/Mankowski defeated Llodra/Zimonjic 64 57 11-9 despite being dominated in match statistics. (They played a better Match Tiebreaker) If we reverse the Winning/Losing stats for this match and then analyze the data, definite trends DO appear.

Points won on 2nd serves: 54% 41%

Return points won on 2nd: 59% 46%

The KEY statistical numbers then seem to be how a pair defends their 2nd serves, and how they attack their opponents 2nd serve.

Of course the three completed doubles matches also tell as that it is possible to win by being "hot" at the right time! Over the course of the week we will see how, and if, the statistics hold up.

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